BITCOIN’S STRATEGIC RESERVE & $200K+ QUANTILE MODEL w/ Sina 21st Capital
In this episode of Whiteboard Finance, we dive deep into the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, market implications, and future price predictions with Dr. Sina, co-founder & COO of 21st Capital. With his Ph.D. and expertise in Bitcoin research, custody, and security, Sina breaks down:
✅ The recent executive order on Bitcoin reserves
✅ Why Bitcoin didn’t pump to $250K despite the news
✅ How nation-states like Belarus could respond
✅ The role of Bitcoin in geopolitics & global finance
✅ Price predictions: Will BTC hit $200K – $300K this cycle?
✅ The Bitcoin Quantile Model & how it forecasts BTC movements
✅ Risks of Coinbase custody & ETF centralization
✅ How institutions & governments should manage BTC reserves
📊 Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model: A powerful tool for tracking BTC valuation, risk score, and potential price movements—breaking down where we are in the cycle and where Bitcoin could be headed next.
🚀 Follow Dr. Sina on X (Twitter): @Sina_21st
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0:00 – Introduction & Bitcoin Price Expectations
0:06 – Guest Introduction: Sina from 21st Capital
0:38 – Trump’s Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Announcement
1:08 – Why Isn’t Bitcoin Pumping on the News?
2:16 – US Government Recognizing Bitcoin as a Nation-State Asset
3:55 – Short-Term Market Reaction vs. Long-Term Bullish Outlook
4:50 – Impact on Other Countries & Institutional Adoption
5:10 – What is a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve?
6:35 – How Bitcoin Reserves Differ from Oil, Gold, and FX Reserves
7:50 – The US Government’s Bitcoin Holdings & Custody Issues
9:04 – Long-Term Market Impact of Bitcoin’s Strategic Reserve
10:01 – Concerns About Executive Orders & Policy Reversals
11:07 – Is This a Sell-the-News Event for Bitcoin?
12:06 – Macroeconomic Factors Affecting Bitcoin Price
14:05 – Bitcoin and M2 Money Supply Relationship
15:16 – Bitcoin’s Adoption Roadmap: From Forums to Central Banks
16:36 – Geopolitical Game Theory & Bitcoin as a Global Reserve Asset
19:27 – Bitcoin Absorbing Monetary Premium from Other Assets
20:49 – How Bitcoin’s Rise Impacts Housing and Investment Markets
22:04 – Bitcoin Quantile Model Explained
23:46 – Log-Log Relationship of Bitcoin’s Price Growth
26:36 – Risk Score & Price Predictions Based on Historical Trends
29:26 – Sina’s Bitcoin Price Prediction for the Next Cycle
31:20 – Live Quantile Model Charts & Big Intelligence Launch
32:58 – How Should Governments Secure Their Bitcoin Reserves?
35:23 – Concerns About Coinbase Custody for Bitcoin ETFs
36:46 – Systemic Risks of Centralized Bitcoin Custody
37:49 – Where to Follow Sina for More Bitcoin Research
WHO AM I? 👇
If we haven’t met before – Hi 👋 I’m Marko, and I’ve been investing since 2006, and I got my finance degree in 2010. My mission is to provide my viewers with actionable content that enables them to create financial wealth. My videos reflect my real-world experience as a real estate investor, stock market investor, student of finance, and entrepreneur.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. You must conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of investment gains or losses.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, I may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion.
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this will be good!!!
Moon!
Keep an eye on the Bitcoin Cash Rich List
1.1 Million Bitcoin Cash were accumulated into 37 new addresses in Feb and March
LARGE new Bitcoin Cash accumulations could be an early signal of a market flip from small block BTC to big block BCH Bitcoin in the future
New accumulations could simply mean that BCH is undervalued against BTC (spot price up 25% in 7 days)
Dude stop lol
Very great interview, thank you.
Glad you enjoyed it!
The Financial innovation and Technology for the 21st Act (ie. the last crypto bill that went through the House of Representatives) passed May 2024 with Bipartisan support. I don’t think the Senate did any thing with it though. With that said, I think the iron is hottest to strike within the next year or so before Congress potentially flips to the Democrats. However, I think the iron will still be hot with a Democratically controlled Congress given the appetite for BTC and perhaps at that point in time more nation states will be racing to accumulate BTC.
cb = massive pot of 🍯🐝🐝
good video!
i never thought of having Quantile bands – that’s neat!
i just had a bottom, halving, and top power lines (before the famous Power Law came out)
BOLD PREDICTION 🔮 – this video will be the primary catalyst event of the bull 🐂!!! Ha😂 all bs aside. Love the value density of the video. May the YouTube algorithm gods bless you 🙏🏼
I think this is for real a break through in your YouTube content with you brining in network depth!
God bless 🙏🏼
✊Amazing video! I’m from USA 🇺🇸 i have to say that Arnold Cheston is a great inspiration for me. I also started investing in cryptocurrencies like him, as a fearless investor who didn’t want to lose money. I’m very happy to say that I’m now very profitable and buying my first house with cryptocurrencies. I’m very grateful for all the knowledge and information that Arnold Cheston has given me in the past few months. I started with only $10,000 in January 2025 and today my portfolio is worth $166,000✊……
What should I do as a beginner? How can I invest, on which platform? If you know, please share. I’m new here, how can I contact him?
HE’S MOSTLY ON TE LEGRAMS… ;( ⤵⤵⤵
@ChestonBtrader⭐⭐⭐
Thank you for the information… I will contact him as soon as possible. I also just want to gain good knowledge and stop losing🙏.🙏.
I agree that there are strategies that can be used to generate solid profits regardless of the state of the economy or market, but such implementations are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience.